On Friday, July 12, 2024Bulgarian phenom Karlos Nasar posted his latest feat of strength to social media — a 185-kilogram, or 407.8-pound snatch, three kilograms above the official 89-kilogram world record.
Nasar has spent the last three months leading up to the 2024 Olympics signaling to his adversaries that the Men’s 89-kilogram event will be a battle for silver.
But his latest achievement got us thinking. Does Nasar also have the strength to win gold in the heavier 102-kilogram categorywere he to compete there?
Let’s look at Nasar’s latest streak of weightlifting achievements and compare his unofficial records with the best offerings in the 89-, 96-, and 102-kilogram categories. Nasar might have enough gas in the tank to win Olympic gold in two of five Men’s events in Paris.
When the qualification period for the 2024 Olympics began in 2022, Nasar was in the conversation; but only just. Paris qualification kicked off in earnest with the International Weightlifting Federation’s (IWF) 2022 World Weightlifting Championships. Yet it was Nasar’s longtime rival and Tokyo 81-kilogram bronze medalist Antonino Pizzolato who was, at the time, the talk of the town.
When the qualification period for Paris wrapped shortly after the IWF World Cup in early summer, Nasar was on top of the world but officially ranked at number two on the 89-kilogram leaderboards behind Tao’s countryman (and still the official Total record owner) Li Dayin.
Dayin would not be selected to represent Team China in weightlifting at the 2024 Olympics. Fans speculate his absence is due to both inconsistent performances on the international stage and, more believably, Nasar’s more consistent progress.
With less than a month until the weightlifting events in Paris, Nasar has published a slew of would-be record-setting performances:
Nasar either weighed above 89 kilograms, partook in events not recognized by the IWF, or hit these lifts in non-competition settings. As such, none of them stand as official records. And yet…
We think so. It’s hypothetical, of course, but Nasar’s 185-kilogram snatch, coupled with his 226-kilogram clean & jerk, gives him a training Total of 411 kilograms. Let’s put that in context:
The 96-kilogram division won’t be showcased at Paris 2024 as a consequence of weightlifting’s bureaucratic failures to police anabolic steroid usage among its athletes.
But the 102-kilogram category will. And while Huanhua stands atop that class’s qualification leaderboard, Nasar’s 411 training Total ranks him quite impressively in the heavier division:
In Context: Nasar may have put together a few of 400-plus performances ahead of Paris, but his IWF-recognized best Total at 89 kilograms stands at 396.
Athletes are not officially ranked in any weight class other than the one in which they compete. Notably, athletes who posted exceptional Totals in non-Paris-recognized weight classes during the qualification period did have their results ranked among the next class up.
For example, Team USA’s Olivia Reeves qualified for the 2024 Olympics in both the Women’s 71 and 81-kilogram divisions, as did Belgian athlete Nina Sterckx in the 49 and 59-kilogram classes. They chose the 71 and 49-kilogram events, respectively.
If Nasar could string together a snatch and clean & jerk that matched his gym personal records, he would have a real shot at dislodging Huanhuawho will arrive in Paris as the presumptive 102-kilogram gold medalist.
So, could Nasar theoretically win gold in two different Olympic events this August? Maybewere he not subjected to a weight cut for the 89-kilogram class (and were it possible to win two Olympic medals at the same event in the first place).
Nasar would be a safe bet for a 102-kilogram podium position on a good day and is strongly favored in the 89s where he’s made his home since late 2021 and where he’ll lift in Paris.
Looking Back: Nasar has made only three appearances in categories other than the Men’s 89-kilogram since his IWF debut as a Youth athlete in 2019. Prior to throwing himself fully into the 89s, Nasar outperformed all-time Chinese great Lu Xiaojun at the 2021 World Weightlifting Championships.
Nasar’s trajectory somewhat mirrors that of men’s weightlifting’s last modern prodigy—Kazakhstan’s Ilya Ilyin. Ilyin originally won two gold medals in 2008 and 2012 in the now-defunct 94-kilogram class. He bagged his first Olympic Champion title at age 20. Nasar is also 20.
Weightlifting historians can see the parallels in the careers of Nasar and Ilyin taking shape. If Nasar wins it all in Paris, we may well see him move up to a heavier class ahead of the 2028 Games in Los Angeles with the intent of winning gold there, too.
Nasar is slated to compete in the Men’s 89-kilogram event at the 2024 Olympic Games at 9:00 a.m. Eastern Standard Time on Friday, Aug. 9, 2024.
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